Market Impact Estimation

Hard·23 min read
Market MicrostructureMarket ImpactKyle ModelPrice ImpactEmpirical Methods

Quick Quiz

1. In the Kyle (1985) single-period model, the equilibrium price impact coefficient is λ=12σuΣ0\lambda = \frac{1}{2\sigma_u}\sqrt{\Sigma_0}, where σu\sigma_u is the noise trader volume and Σ0\Sigma_0 is the prior variance of the asset value. What happens to λ\lambda as σu\sigma_u \to \infty (very noisy market), and what does this mean economically?

2. The square-root law of market impact states Impact(Q)YσQ/V\mathrm{Impact}(Q) \approx Y\sigma\sqrt{Q/V}, where QQ is the order size, VV is ADV, and σ\sigma is daily volatility. A trader executes Q=0.01VQ = 0.01V (1% of ADV). If Y=1Y = 1 and σ=1%\sigma = 1\%/day, what is the expected price impact in basis points?

3. Estimating Kyle's lambda from tick data by regressing mid-price changes on signed order flow can produce upward-biased estimates. The Lee-Ready algorithm is used to assign trade signs. Which of the following is the primary source of bias in this regression?

4. The permanent impact component of a trade measures the price move that persists after the trade is complete. A permanent impact close to zero implies that the trade was uninformative — the price reverts to its pre-trade level because no new information was revealed.

5. A trader is considering whether to execute a large sell order using TWAP over 1 day or to execute it immediately. The square-root impact model gives h(v)=ησv/Vh(v) = \eta\sigma\sqrt{v/V} (temporary impact only; ignore permanent). For TWAP with constant rate v0=Q/Tv_0 = Q/T, the total temporary impact cost is 0Th(v0)dt=Th(Q/T)\int_0^T h(v_0)\,dt = T \cdot h(Q/T). For immediate execution at rate v0v_0 \to \infty (a single market order of size QQ), the cost is h(Q/Δt)Δth(Q/\Delta t)\cdot\Delta t for small Δt\Delta t. Which statement correctly compares these costs?

6. In the context of market impact estimation, what is a 'meta-order' and why is correctly identifying meta-order boundaries important for estimating the square-root law?