Conditional Expectation as an L² Projection

Medium·12 min read·Interactive lab
ProbabilityHilbert SpacesConditional Expectation

Quick Quiz

1. In which space does the projection interpretation of conditional expectation hold?

2. What property characterizes the projection?

3. Complete the statement: E[XG]=argminYL2(G)E[X|\mathcal{G}] = \arg\min_{Y \in L^2(\mathcal{G})} ___

4. It is sufficient to check orthogonality only against indicator functions of G-sets.