L2

Gambler's Ruin

Senior Quant · Brainteasers & Logic

N=100k=5TimeWealthReaches NRuined

Symmetric random walk starting at k=5, barriers at 0 and N=10. What is P(reach N before 0)?

Question

A symmetric random walk on Z\mathbb{Z} starts at 0. What is the probability of ever returning to 0? If the walk has drift p>1/2p > 1/2, does it return? State the gambler's ruin result: starting at kk with absorbing barriers at 0 and NN, what is the probability of reaching NN before 0?