Quiz: Monte Carlo: Antithetic Variates, Control Variates, Quasi-MC

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Quick Quiz

1. A Monte Carlo estimator uses N=10,000N = 10{,}000 paths and achieves a standard error of 0.050.05. How many paths are needed to reduce the standard error to 0.010.01?

2. The antithetic variate estimator for a call option under GBM uses paired samples ZiZ_i and Zi-Z_i (where ZiN(0,1)Z_i \sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)). Why is the antithetic pair negatively correlated?

3. The optimal control variate coefficient is c=Cov(f(X),Y)/Var(Y)c^* = \mathrm{Cov}(f(X), Y) / \mathrm{Var}(Y). The resulting variance of the control-adjusted estimator is:

4. The Koksma-Hlawka inequality implies that quasi-Monte Carlo with a Sobol sequence always outperforms standard Monte Carlo for option pricing, regardless of the payoff function's smoothness.

5. In the Brownian bridge construction for quasi-Monte Carlo simulation of a GBM path, Sobol dimension 1 is assigned to WTW_T, dimension 2 to WT/2W_{T/2}, and so on recursively. Why is this preferred over the sequential construction (dimension jj assigned to time step jj)?

6. A control variate estimator uses Y=erTSTY = e^{-rT}S_T with known mean μY=S0\mu_Y = S_0. For an at-the-money call (S0=KS_0 = K), the correlation ρf,Y\rho_{f,Y} between the call payoff and the discounted stock is approximately 0.9. What variance reduction factor does this achieve?